#OWS

baltimore ravens

Super Bowl Gambling: Joe Flacco

Who is ready for more Super Bowl 47 odds? Earlier we talked Super Bowl MVP odds. Now I want to concentrate on Joe Flacco specific prop bets. There are a ton of different bets that have to do with touchdowns, of course. Here are some of my favorites.

First, I want to talk about Joe Flacco.

Total TD Passes – Joe Flacco (BAL)

1 Touchdown (+175)

2 Touchdowns (+250)

3 Touchdowns (+450)

Placing a smaller wager on both 1 TD and 2 TDS may be a sound way to play this one.

Next up; lets look at yardage.

Longest Completion – Joe Flacco (BAL)

Over(-125)/under(-105) – 40.5 yards

The Ravens have been known to throw the deep ball. In fact, they throw it a lot. I love the over here. Sticking with this idea, shall we talk overall yardage output?

Total Passing Yards – Joe Flacco (BAL) 

Over(-135)/under(+105) – 250.5 yards

Now, as I said the Ravens will throw and throw again. However, the Niners are a stout defense. I’d take the odds here and go under at +105.

You might have a gambling problem if you bet on this next one.

Joe Flacco (BAL) First pass of the game will be? 

Complete (-175)

Incomplete (+155)

Interception (+1200)

That said, I may have a gambling problem so I will take the +155 odds on an incomplete pass.

Super Bowl Gambling: MVP Odds

I know we have been a bit slow here at OWS. What better time to stoke-up the ole OWS machine but for the Super Bowl! The first thing that the Super Bowl congeries up in my mind — gambling, of course. Lets start with the Super Bowl MVP odds. The favorites are obviously the quarterbacks – even with these two particularly unproven QBs. Colin Kaepernick is 8/5 while Joe Flacco is 11/4.

You need to pick an MVP candidate on the team you believe will win. Or you can hedge and bet on one Niner and one Raven. That might be the way to go with this type of prob bet.

That said, it’s fun to think a little outside the box with these.

Ray Lewis is the best way to play this. If Baltimore wins and he has more than 6 tackles, assuming Flacco has an average game, how can Ray-Ray not win it? Currently Ray Lewis gets you 7/1 on your investment.

On the San Francisco side, I’ve got two. First, Vernon Davis. He has been in full beast more thus far in the 2013 playoffs. Currently he is 18/1. Next, Michael Crabtree. He’s the type of player that can rise up for a big moment like Super Bowl 47. Crabtree is currently 14/1.

Here is the full list of Super Bowl MVP odds; Colin Kaepernick (SF) QB 8/5 Joe Flacco (BAL) QB 11/4 Frank Gore (SF) RB 7/1 Ray Lewis (BAL) LB 7/1 Ray Rice (BAL) RB 12/1 Michael Crabtree (SF) WR 14/1 Anquan Boldin (BAL) WR 16/1 Vernon Davis (SF) TE 18/1 Torrey Smith (BAL) WR 20/1 Ed Reed (BAL) FS 33/1 Patrick Willis (SF) LB 40/1 Aldon Smith (SF) LB 50/1 Dennis Pitta (BAL) TE 50/1 Randy Moss (SF) WR 50/1 Terrell Suggs (BAL) LB 50/1 Dashon Goldson (SF) FS 66/1 David Akers (SF) K 66/1 LaMichael James (SF) RB 66/1 NaVorro Bowman (SF) LB 66/1 Alex Smith (SF) QB 75/1 Bernard Pierce (BAL) RB 75/1 Bernard Pollard (BAL) S 75/1 Justin Tucker (BAL) K 75/1 Ted Ginn Jr. (SF) WR 75/1 Delanie Walker (SF) TE 100/1 Field 25/1.

“Pick Six” for Week 6

Oakland @ Atlanta – Do you think the bye week made the Oakland Raiders any better? Do you think a 1-3 team that must travel west coast to east coast can beat a very good 5-0 Atlanta Falcons team? Matt Ryan showed last week that while his offense can stumble from time to time, he has the team around him that can get things fixed and rolling the right way in order get the W. I look for the Falcons to rebound offensively and put the Raiders away early. Look for the Falcons to keep Richard Seymour & company quiet.

Falcons are favored by 8.5 and should easily cover this at home.

Dallas @ Baltimore – Dallas is coming off a much needed bye week where Romo needed that time to forget about his MNF performance against the Bears. Problem is, the book has been written on Romo and distributed league-wide. If you let him sit in the pocket, he will kill you. If you put pressure on him, he scrambles around and usually will get rid of the ball earlier than he wants to. I used to be a big Romo supporter, thinking he had the goods to succeed in this league but he doesn’t learn from his mistakes. Sure there are times he extends plays and looks brilliant but will usually follow that up with a pick. Baltimore has a tough defense and Ed Reid is not a guy you want on the other side of the ball when you have a tendency to throw int’s.

If Dallas can win this game, it will certainly quiet critics for a few days. If the Ravens get the win, Dallas will go back home 2-3 and all the critics will wonder if this team can ever put it together. With Jerry as a GM, the answer is no to that question. Ravens are coming of a disappointing win in KC so look for them to try and step it up.

Ravens favored by 3.5 and I think the win and cover.

Indianapolis @ NY Jets – Give the Jets credit, they hung with the Texans last week and had a chance to get the W. It’s surprising because the offense that Sanchez has to work with is pitiful. How many balls did the Jets receivers drop? Tebow comes in for a play here and there and it just doesn’t work. The  Jets running game isn’t thrilling me either. Indy is coming off an emotional win at home against the Packers. They fought and fought back and in the end they got the win. (Nice goal line awareness by Reggie Wayne)This game basically comes down to Luck v Sanchez. Who can bring it? Can the Colts keep riding the emotional Pagano storyline? I say Indy wins this one because Luck has more to work with.

New England @ Seattle – Even when Seattle isn’t a very good team, playing in Seattle is always a problem for the visitors.  Brady and his offense will have to be in sync because the Seahawks have an aggressive front that can disrupt Brady’s rhythm.  The Seattle secondary could easily cause problems for Brady as well. It’s no secret how important Wes Welker is to the Patriots offense so Seattle will need to minimize him.

Patriots D also have to be up to the task because if they aren’t Marshawn Lynch could have a big big day.

Patriots are favored by 3.5 and that is a tough one. If New England can win this game,  I think it would be REAL close but I think the home field is too much and I take Seattle to sneak out the win.

NY Giants @ San Francisco – Stop me if you’ve heard this before…NFC Championship rematch. San Fran is on a roll but to be fair, they’ve beaten the Jets and then the Bills. That’s not a very tough schedule now is it? The Giants are coming off a win against the Browns, a win where they saw Bradshaw hit the 200 mark.  Here is why I see the 49ers winning this game. On the 49ers side you have Brandon Jacobs and Mario Manningham who have probably been counting down to this game since the days the Giants decided they weren’t worth the money. Gore looks MUCH better than he did last year so the Giants will have their hands full there. The Giants have been struggling at getting to the QB so if that continues this week, Alex Smith will have a field day. I know Manning is on the field and he’s excellent in games like this but I thought NY was lucky the last time they came to San Fran and I don’t think they will be as lucky this time.

Niners favored by 5.5 but I think they only win by 3

Green Bay @ Houston – What will the Packers do this week?  If Green Bay watched the MNF game closely last week, they will find their key to winning this game The Jets did a great job at shutting down Andre Johnson and the Texans didn’t have much of an answer for that. If Green Bay can shut down any passing threat then they could focus on stopping the run.

As for Houston, with Cushing done for the year, they are forced to play without one of their leaders and best defenders. That’s tough. It could be a rallying point or it could be a long night.  The Texans have some adjustments to make and if they let the Packers hang around like they let the Jets hang around on MNF, there will probably be only one undefeated team left come Week 7.

I’ll go Packers in this one because I think the Cushing injury is just too big on a short week.