If you weren’t long the Browns on Thursday night, you have some catching up to do. There are a few spots on the week 5 schedule to make that happen. That’s right, it’s already week 5 and it’s time to recoup those losses. It’s time to turn the first four weeks of historical data into future betting profits.
Don’t Fall For The Colts
Luck’s late-game heroics have been quite impressive. Apparently Vegas believes others have hopped on the Indy bandwagon, as I did. That said, the idea that Seattle (even on the road) is only 3-points better than Indianapolis is ludacris.
Pick: Seahawks -3
Out Of Sight, Out Of Mind
The Packers had a bye week during week 4. This week the Lions come to Lambeau. We watched the Lions impress last week, while the Pack were on the sidelines. Last we saw Green Bay they were falling apart gainst the Bengals. Could this line reflect that idea that we are forgetting the Green Bay team that beat up the 49ers and looked to have an unstoppable offense?
Note: the over/under for this game is reaching the mid-50s, which is a lot for any game not featuring the Eagles defense.
Pick: Packers -7
Like The 2007 Patriots
This one is simple. The Broncos are entering 2007 Patriots territory. No, no, not the idea of going undefeated. That will come later in the season. Rather, it’s the concept that Vegas has not yet fully adjusted for the juggernaut that is the 2013 Broncos. Manning is gunning to get his single-season TD record back and is looking like his team will average 30+ points in doing so. Until further notice, take Denver.
It’s like picking stocks. In general, are Netflix and Tesla overvalued? Hell yeah. That does not mean the stock won’t continue to rise in price. So jump on board.
Pick: Denver -9