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Super Bowl Gambling: MVP Odds

I know we have been a bit slow here at OWS. What better time to stoke-up the ole OWS machine but for the Super Bowl! The first thing that the Super Bowl congeries up in my mind — gambling, of course. Lets start with the Super Bowl MVP odds. The favorites are obviously the quarterbacks – even with these two particularly unproven QBs. Colin Kaepernick is 8/5 while Joe Flacco is 11/4.

You need to pick an MVP candidate on the team you believe will win. Or you can hedge and bet on one Niner and one Raven. That might be the way to go with this type of prob bet.

That said, it’s fun to think a little outside the box with these.

Ray Lewis is the best way to play this. If Baltimore wins and he has more than 6 tackles, assuming Flacco has an average game, how can Ray-Ray not win it? Currently Ray Lewis gets you 7/1 on your investment.

On the San Francisco side, I’ve got two. First, Vernon Davis. He has been in full beast more thus far in the 2013 playoffs. Currently he is 18/1. Next, Michael Crabtree. He’s the type of player that can rise up for a big moment like Super Bowl 47. Crabtree is currently 14/1.

Here is the full list of Super Bowl MVP odds; Colin Kaepernick (SF) QB 8/5 Joe Flacco (BAL) QB 11/4 Frank Gore (SF) RB 7/1 Ray Lewis (BAL) LB 7/1 Ray Rice (BAL) RB 12/1 Michael Crabtree (SF) WR 14/1 Anquan Boldin (BAL) WR 16/1 Vernon Davis (SF) TE 18/1 Torrey Smith (BAL) WR 20/1 Ed Reed (BAL) FS 33/1 Patrick Willis (SF) LB 40/1 Aldon Smith (SF) LB 50/1 Dennis Pitta (BAL) TE 50/1 Randy Moss (SF) WR 50/1 Terrell Suggs (BAL) LB 50/1 Dashon Goldson (SF) FS 66/1 David Akers (SF) K 66/1 LaMichael James (SF) RB 66/1 NaVorro Bowman (SF) LB 66/1 Alex Smith (SF) QB 75/1 Bernard Pierce (BAL) RB 75/1 Bernard Pollard (BAL) S 75/1 Justin Tucker (BAL) K 75/1 Ted Ginn Jr. (SF) WR 75/1 Delanie Walker (SF) TE 100/1 Field 25/1.

Week 12 – Things That Caught My Eye

When you are facing any opponent, be it an inferior one or one that should run you out of the building, when you are facing them with your 3rd string QB, your 3rd starting QB in as many weeks, you as a team need to step up. Early on in the Pittsburgh / Cleveland game, it looked like the Steelers were going to do just that, step up but then the fumbles started coming. And they kept, coming and coming. They fumbled the ball 8 times, lost it 5 and then watched Charlie Batch throw 3 picks. Here’s the part that kills you if you are a Steelers fan. You’ve turned the ball over 7 times and you are driving with a chance to actually put you ahead on the scoreboard. THAT’S how bad the Cleveland Browns are. Of course the Steelers would cough it up one more time killing any chance of winning that they had but to say you had a chance while turning it over says a lot about a team. In most cases, turning the ball over 8 times would have the local high school team blowing you out.

Pittsburgh has to fix this in a hurry if they expect to survive without Big Ben. We knew the Baltimore games would be a dog fight without him but thought the Cleveland game was a gimme.

 Jets Need To Start Over

We have to go back to Thursday Night for this one but the New York Jets have become laughable at this point. I think the Jets have reached the point now where it is time to blow this team up and start over. The Rex Ryan era has to come to an end. Once again they’ve taken a back seat to the Giants and really this run they’ve had under Rex Ryan has been nothing but loud mouthed and overhypedBut that’s the kind of guy Rex Ryan is and that’s the kind of team he’s running and obviously it just isn’t working. Give New England credit, they are just crushing anyone and everyone in their way but to let the other team score 3 touchdowns in the span of :52 seconds it just inexcusable . The “Butt Fumble” will be shown on blooper reels for years to come so congrats Mark Sanchez, you did leave the NFL a highlight that will be with us long after you aren’t. Apparently, Fireman Ed is bailing on this team and you won’t see him at games anymore. Maybe that’s a good thing, maybe they can get a new image now because to me,  Fireman Ed is the perfect symbol of what the New York Jets are, loud and obnoxious.

Dallas Too…

Another team that’s laughable at this point also played on Thanksgiving. As far as I’m concerned, as long Jerry Jones wants to call himself a GM, the Dallas Cowboys are going nowhere. They will never get a qualified coach and will never get the team run correctly. Of all the GM’s in this league, the Cowboys are run by the most unqualified GM. We couldn’t say that for a long time because Al Davis was in charge in  Oakland but since the moment Al Davis passed through the Pearly Gates, Jerry Jones took over that honor. Give Dallas some credit, they made a game of it and almost came back but to lose, at home, on Thanksgiving, to a rival, a rival with a QB I was screaming for Dallas to trade up and get it just embarrassing. They needed that game to have a prayer at the playoffs.

A few other things to note:

4th and 29 and you let them get a 1st down?? SERIOUSLY? Hey, if you’re the Cowboys, maybe you can talk Jerry into giving up control, talk Jimmy into coming back because Norv Turner is going to be looking for work. Dave Wannstedt might be looking for work as well as Buffalo isn’t very good.

Give San Fran credit, I thought switching up QB’s at this point might prove to be a dumb move but Colin Kaepernick looked pretty good yesterday.

Eli owns the Packers, there’s no other way to put it. A lot was made about Clay Matthews standing on the sideline last night but in the last 3 meetings, the Giants have put up 35 or more whether or not Matthews is in the game.

And finally… is the next Philadelphia Coach sitting in the broadcast booth tonight watching his future team??

NFC Playoff Picture

So I logged on to NFL.com this morning like I usually do to catch up on some NFL news and I was greeted by this picture and the question underneath it.

What’s wrong with this question? I’m sure you picked up on it immediately but if not, exactly how do you consider the Philadelphia Eagles a playoff contender? At 3-6, they would realistically have to lose only 1 game from here on out in order to go 9-7 which might be a record that gets you a Wildcard. They certainly aren’t going to leap frog over the rest of the NFC East and win that division.

So that got me thinking about the playoff picture. We are going into Week 11 so it’s not too early to start thinking about it. Today I will focus on the NFC whereas tomorrow I will focus in on the AFC.

Current NFC Playoff Picture:

1. Atlanta Falcons (8-1)
2. Chicago Bears (7-2)
3. San Fran (6-2-1)
4. NY Giants (6-4)
5. Green Bay (6-3)
6. Seattle (6-4)

In the Hunt:

Minnesota (6-4)
Tampa Bay (5-4)
New Orleans (4-5)
Dallas (4-5)

Let’s start with the in the hunt teams. Dallas has a somewhat easy schedule here on out but looking at that “easy” schedule, I see 3 division game which are always a toss. At best, I can put the Cowboys at 5-2 the rest of the season but more realistically I can put them at 4-3 which has them 8-8, not a playoff team. The ONLY way they get in is knocking the Giants out in the NFC East. New Orleans has the Niners, Falcons and Giants on their remaining schedule. Like the Cowboys, I can’t put them better than an 8-8 record. Tampa plays New Orleans, Atlanta twice and at Denver. That’s 4 losses my book, which put thems at 8-8. Minnesota has to play Chicago twice, the Packers twice and the Texans. That’s BRUTAL but if they can find a way to win those games then they have a chance but they won’t. That pretty much takes all the “in the hunt” teams out of the picture with the exception of Dallas who could capture the NFC East.

As for movement from the teams that are sitting in the playoffs at the moment, I will say that NY will hang on to the NFC East and that the Packers will catch the Bears and win the NFC North. I’ll keep the rest of the team’s right where they are, which means my playoff picture will look like this:

Atlanta and Green Bay get a first round bye.

Seattle travels to San Francisco while the Chicago Bears hit the road to take on the defending Super Bowl Champion New York Giants.

What do you think??